Navy Intel Analyst BZV analyzes the dangerous move toward Canadian annexation, exposing the "Manifest Destiny 2.0" fallacy and the high cost of USMCA betrayal.
Part 4 — Our Northern Neighbor: Canada and Manifest Destiny 2.0?
Executive Summary (BLUF): Canada is not only a vital neighbor; it is one of our closest allies with whom we share more bilateral ties than the rest of NATO combined. Breaking this relationship — which predates their 1867 Confederation and was codified in the 1940 Ogdensburg Agreement — is a crowning strategic win for our adversaries.
A NATO Destruction Preamble
Here is a quick Canadian history snapshot: French explorers Cartier and Champlain established New France in the 16th-17th centuries, followed by the British conquest in 1763. This led to centuries of compromise resulting in two official languages. They started their lengthy independence process by becoming a self-governing Dominion on July 1, 1867, finally gaining full legal autonomy to amend their own constitution in 1982.
To be clear for my American readers: this history is a gauntlet of struggle and hardship. It created a society that values its distinct, bilingual identity. If you think you can simply "annex" this, you are assuming Americans are ready to assimilate 400 years of French and English cultural conflict. Are you ready to learn French? Because forced statehood means forced integration of their history and their laws into ours.
Although Canada and the USA have much in common, they remain very distinctive nations. Most importantly: the majority of Canadians want to keep it that way.
Canada has been the backbone of American-led coalitions. Armed conflict or forced annexation would result in irreparable damage to NATO and our mutual national security. Geography is a cold reality here. We share the longest land border in the world. Cutting off road access to the south for Alaska — where 744,000 Americans depend on Canadian logistics — is a strategic nightmare.
The last actual war between us was the War of 1812. Since then, while there were minor border disputes like the "Pig War," we have had no actual combat. Let that sink in. Adversarial regimes have been trying to instigate animosity between us since before 1949 because they understand that an intact US-Canada alliance is a wall they cannot climb.
Of note: Canada only shares borders with the USA, with the rest of their territory bordering the Pacific, Atlantic, and Arctic Oceans. They do not need isolation any more than we do. Yet this "America First" and "Peace through Strength" is irreversibly turning into "America Alone" as 99% of the planet disagrees with Trump's expansion through military force. Why? Because it violates international law.
The 51st State Rhetoric: "Single White Female" Energy
Former Prime Minister Trudeau and current PM Mark Carney have been emphatic: Canada will not be the 51st state. "No means no." Politically at first, then through action.
Two things can be true: you can love someone but not want to live with them. You have a bestie you hang out with, but you don't move in together because you like your privacy. Clearly defined boundaries are healthy in personal relationships — and certainly in geopolitics.
When the current administration started threatening Canada with tariffs for refusing this "forced relationship," it started a dystopian snowball. The world is paying attention. You would have to be extremely naive to think our allies aren't planning contingencies. When the U.S. imposed Tariffs, Canada retaliated. Now we are in a mutual boycott of goods, services, and tourism. Canadians were spending billions in the USA for over two centuries; that stopped in 2025.
Things got even more precarious as the threats turned toward military force. Let’s use that "bestie" example again. You want your friend to move in. They say no. So you start charging them a "toll" every time you meet. When they still say no, you threaten to beat the crap out of them to force them to be your roommate so you can take whatever you want from their house.
If that were you friend, wouldn't you run away? It is creepy. It is the "Single White Female" type of obsession — look it up if you don’t know the reference. Very quickly it is about a creepy roommate who starts killing everybody else who comes near their new "friend." In case you scoff, what do you think military force means?
That alone demonstrates why almost every Canadian (except for the rapidly dwindling "Maple-MAGA" fringe) refuses to be part of the USA — especially under this regime. Newsflash: most folks abroad dislike the current U.S. leadership. Even those who "tolerate" it for policy have conceded they cringe at the rhetoric. No country has the authority to yank a leader — no matter how authoritarian — from their home at gunpoint without a declaration of war. No country has done exactly that in recent memory, except the current U.S. administration — which violates multiple international statutes (see: Venezuela).
What if Canada Was Forced as a State? (The Math)
To the right-wing platforms and their audience supporting forcing Canada to become part of the US: "No means no." Many expats prefer being Canadian citizens over Americans for a host of reasons. When American exceptionalism turns into American arrogance, it’s like inviting a good-looking friend out who turns out to be insufferable; they never get invited again.
First off, it’s a lose-lose situation. We have vast divergence in how we govern. Adjusting provinces into states would be an administrative and legal nightmare that would destabilize both countries for decades. It isn’t as "sexy" as calling a Prime Minister a "Governor." But it is the "boring and complex stuff" that actually runs the process, not chants and slogans.
On that note, Canada’s representation would be immediately subordinate. This US President is already angry at "Blue States." Violating the statute that requires a President to treat all states equally is illegal, but I digress.
Here is the kicker for the GOP: Canada would likely be a "Blue State" bloc. They would add two Senators, but they would also add 45 to 55 House Representatives. With the current 435-seat balance, adding a Canadian supermajority of pro-impeachment, blue-leaning candidates would politically backfire on the GOP in a way they haven't calculated — or simply don't understand. Or worse, destabilization is the goal. I'll expand on this in a separate article, but keep it in mind.
What is this Takeover Really About?
As always: Oil and natural resources. Canada has vast wealth above and below the ground. But this "annexation" also looks like a massive gift to the Kremlin. It’s about geography — including the Northern Sea Route — and how vulnerable this makes both nations if we are forced to play by the same compromised playbook.
The Five Eyes (FVEY) — Canada, Great Britain, Australia, and New Zealand — are already suspending intelligence sharing with the USA. They haven’t overtly called the President a Russian asset, but other world leaders have. If you think our allies aren't paying attention, sorry to tell y'all, you're naive.
Losing 10% of international visitors since the pandemic — mostly from Europe and Canada — is only part of the price of this "creepy soon-to-be-ex-best friend" energy. Livelihoods have been destroyed by this sovereignty overreach. And the world is paying attention — despite loyalists not understanding the scope of what happens outside their bubbles. The world is a lot more complex than echo-chamber bubbles.
Final Word — For Now
Tariffs are paid by you, the consumer. That’s you and me. And remember: the last time trade was negotiated was during the first Trump administration when they replaced NAFTA with the USMCA. So, if you want to know who is the "idiot" was who negotiated the "terrible deal" with Mexico and Canada we are now supposedly fixing — look no further than the man who signed it. Let that sink in for a bit, since many outlets seem to forget history.
Trump signed the initial USMCA on November 30, 2018, during the G20 summit in Buenos Aires. After a long period of negotiations and revisions with Congress, he officially signed the revised agreement into U.S. law on January 29, 2020. Just so you can understand it was not just a "fluke" - or an "oversight."
With 91% of Canadians viewing U.S. leadership as "arrogant" and 76% as "dangerous," we have reached the "ghosting" phase. Canada is hanging out with a new crowd (China, Davos, the EU) because Trump can't respect boundaries. This is exactly what I warned many elected leaders back in early 2025 was going to happen. Go to my Patreon and read the receipts.
Only Americans can fix this. And as 2026 primaries sprout across the country, they are filling with a new crop of legislators who intend to behave like a co-equal branch of government and remove dead weight from office. But in order for this to work for America, people need to become a lot savvier in geopolitics. Because politics alone is only a small part of the puzzle our adversaries — sadly — understand better than most Americans do. BZV
Continuance: Cuba — Echoes from the Cold War Next Lesson: Cuba — Turning a bad situation even worse.
About the Author: J. Marcelo "BeeZee" Baqueroalvarez
🔗 Connect & Learn More: Visit Marcelo's comprehensive landing page for his extended bio, social links, consulting form, and more.
J. Marcelo "BeeZee" Baqueroalvarez is the Founder of Half Life Crisis™, a unique father-daughter collaboration dedicated to the relentless pursuit of intellectual honesty, critical thinking, geopolitical strategy, and meaningful art. Marcelo is the recognized author of the essential reads, Authoritarianism & Propaganda and Woke & Proud, driving challenging conversations worldwide. When not publishing, Marcelo utilizes his strategic insight in technology and business as the founder of BeeZee Vision, LLC™, which includes BZVweb™ Automated Web Services and Info in Context™ strategic consulting.
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